The similarities between the two regions make East Asia an obvious place to seek an answer for questions two and three.
The economic interconnectedness of the region and the possession by several states of nuclear weapons in some ways replicates the reluctance to escalate in crises that we also find in the Ukraine crisis. China is a competitor state of, if not strictly a rival to, Japan and the US. Similarly, it is also an arena in which several established or rising great powers engage in a diplomatic dance of competition and cooperation, namely China, the US and Japan. Multiple East Asian states have security ties with the US, albeit to a lesser extent than many Eastern European ones. The world is littered with disputed boundaries East Asia, for example offers many points for comparison with Eastern Europe. The answer to the first question is clearly “yes”. Would it be in the national interest of such a state to use ostensibly deniable techniques to resolve its territorial disputes in the face of escalating economic and “social” penalties?.If so, do these states have the capacity to carry out plausibly deniable operations of the type we have seen Russia use in Ukraine?.Are there insecure or territorially dissatisfied states in comparable regions of the world today?.This is in fact quite straightforward to answer if we consider three simple questions: But while the attention of the world is riveted on the Kremlin, what about other regional powers? If a great power conflict can be avoided (as in Ukraine so far), would another state emulate Russia’s behavior in the future? Alarm is now heard that if Russian attempts to undermine Ukrainian territorial integrity are successful it will feed Moscow’s appetite for more. The non-invasion invasion of Ukrainian territory by little green men, or “self-defense groups” as President Putin calls them, has been a masterful demonstration of Russian asymmetric warfare, electronic disinformation and lawfare techniques. But perhaps the longer term threat is not that a declining Russia’s actions will go unpunished, but that as with Germany, Italy and Japan in the 1930s, states who are also dissatisfied with their neighborhood’s geopolitical status quo will copy the Kremlin’s lead. This article was originally published by on īy avoiding blatant aggression, Putin’s ostensibly deniable tactics use Europe’s rules-based interconnected international system against it, even as he circumvents Russia’s own treaty commitments to Ukraine.
0 kommentar(er)
